Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 8.012711 9.022415 10.223068 11.791094 13.842867 16.531123 20.508140
2024-12-15 7.588517 9.097425 11.127580 14.239690 19.318047 28.428857 50.988233
2024-12-22 6.650247 8.291695 10.687420 14.820004 22.979408 43.739307 185.894056
2024-12-29 6.244273 8.130906 11.156441 17.230968 33.328278 127.784576 NaN
2025-01-05 5.799715 7.824660 11.344673 19.521766 50.657481 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 5.208855 7.172506 10.754184 19.908713 67.306150 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 4.665673 6.510089 9.983179 19.478914 83.980005 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 4.541335 6.554254 10.677058 24.399591 450.308685 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 4.595392 6.945929 12.385675 38.151830 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 4.451719 6.928816 13.153544 53.280656 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 4.254456 6.763233 13.471595 71.551114 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 4.032543 6.504311 13.412123 91.105578 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.756179 6.128525 13.000048 113.355899 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 3.588100 5.974972 13.357954 229.417433 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 3.270954 5.420158 11.961996 167.300199 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 3.105582 5.207195 11.857765 294.516290 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.935844 4.958087 11.514042 506.078684 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.724333 4.580249 10.506422 313.414693 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.524887 4.214291 9.480151 182.125858 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.465715 4.184472 9.849902 816.917322 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.469449 4.313146 11.043012 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.409266 4.267531 11.415624 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.332105 4.165275 11.445255 NaN NaN NaN NaN